United StatesServices AdvisoryRunway analysis

Advisory

Runway analysis for US businesses

How long the money lasts on your own numbers, and what changes it.

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What is runway analysis?

How long the money lasts on your own numbers, and what changes it.

Runway starts with a distinction most reporting glosses over: gross burn versus net burn. Gross burn is every dollar out the door in a month — payroll, rent, software, all of it — with nothing netted against it. Net burn subtracts what was actually collected that month, not invoiced. A company that reports one figure as "burn" without saying which has told half the story, usually the flattering half. We report both, every time, with the formula stated.

The output isn't "about fourteen months." It's a specific calendar month, tied to a stated cash balance and burn figure, refreshed on a cadence set in advance. A checkable date matters most when a founder is weighing a raise: a process typically runs four to six months from first pitch to wire, so the runway date has to sit far enough out that a raise, if the founder chooses to run one, can close before cash hits zero.

Why it matters

Without a systemWith CapEasy
Decisions made on last year’s numbersA forecast that is updated from the actual close
Pricing set by feelKnowing which work makes money and which does not
Cash surprises that were visible months earlierNumbers you can defend in a funding conversation

What we need from you

Foundation

  • A clean, current set of books
  • At least a few periods of history
  • Budget or plan, if one exists

Context

  • Pricing and cost structure
  • Headcount plan
  • Anything you are about to decide

How it runs, step by step

  1. Planning & forecasting
    • Cash flow forecasting
    • Budgeting and re-forecasting
    • Scenario modelling
  2. Profitability
    • Job, product or service profitability
    • Margin analysis
    • Cost optimisation review
  3. Financial modelling & valuation support
    • Three-statement models
    • Unit economics
    • Valuation analysis and supporting workings

Who does what

Your CapEasy teamRunway analysis, the reconciliations and reporting behind it, and the questions list that keeps it honest.
Your CPA or enrolled agentEverything that carries a licence in United States — rendered exactly as written: issue compilation, review or audit reports — those are restricted to licensed cpa firms.
YouOne conversation with one named person, and the decisions that are genuinely yours.

Runway analysis in United States

Runway numbers are not fundraising advice

Runway analysis produces a date and its assumptions — nothing about when to raise, how much, at what valuation, or from whom. That's strategic, often board-level, advice we're not positioned to give. Where a client asks directly, the question goes to their board, investors, or counsel by name, and the runway math is handed over so that conversation starts informed.

Gross and net burn are reported separately, on principle

There's no single number that means "burn." Gross burn alone after a strong revenue month makes runway look shorter than it is; net burn alone during a slow collections month can make it look longer. Every output shows both, with the formula — gross burn minus cash collected — stated plainly.

Payroll tax deposit dates are real cash events

Quarterly Form 941 deposits, and the more frequent dates on a semi-weekly federal schedule, move cash out on fixed dates regardless of whether a model accounts for them. Those dates come from the CPA's or payroll provider's actual filing calendar, not re-derived from the bank feed — the filed record is the source of truth.

A runway model isn't attest-level assurance

Under the Uniform Accountancy Act §14(a), compilation, review, and audit reports are restricted to licensed CPA firms. Runway analysis is management reporting — a cash-out date built from a closed general ledger — never issued as, or substituting for, a compiled, reviewed, or audited statement. It's decision support on top of the books, not assurance on the books themselves.

What your CPA or enrolled agent receives from us

  • A runway memo stating a specific cash-out month, the cash balance, and the net-burn figure it was calculated from.
  • Gross burn and net burn shown side by side, with the formula stated.
  • A sensitivity table showing the cash-out date under two or three named scenarios — a delayed hire, a slipped collection, a vendor renewal — not a generic optimistic/pessimistic range.
  • A stated refresh cadence (monthly tied to close, or weekly for fast-burning companies), with the last-refreshed date on the memo.
  • Known fixed outflows — quarterly 941 deposits, estimated tax payments, debt service — sourced from the CPA's or payroll provider's actual filing calendar.
  • One-time expenses itemized and excluded from the recurring burn figure used to project forward.

Questions worth asking before you start

Who actually does the work — a person or an AI tool?

A named person on our team owns your file and reviews everything that leaves it. Software does a real share of the grinding underneath it — coding, matching, flagging the obvious gaps — but nothing regulated happens without a person’s judgement, and nothing here is signed or filed by an algorithm.

Is there a filing or lodging step here?

No — runway analysis is operational work inside your books, not something submitted to IRS. Where a filing does sit downstream of it, inside advisory more broadly, that stays with your CPA or enrolled agent, never with us.

Which software do you work in?

Whatever you already run. Most commonly QuickBooks, Xero, NetSuite, Sage, Zoho Books and a handful of others — we work inside your system rather than moving you onto one of our own.

How does this actually start?

A short, free read-only look at what you already have, and a written note on what we found. A scoping call decides the size of the engagement — nothing here commits you to anything.

What does it cost?

There is no published price for runway analysis — it depends on volume, how many entities are involved, and how far behind the books are. We quote after the read-only review, which is free.

How does this fit with the rest of advisory?

Runway analysis sits inside advisory, alongside Cash flow forecasting, Budgeting and forecasting, Margin analysis. Most clients end up buying the category as a whole rather than one leaf at a time, but starting narrow is fine.

What's the difference between gross burn and net burn?

Gross burn is every dollar out the door in a month, nothing netted. Net burn subtracts what was actually collected. We report both, every time — a figure built on only one tells half the story.

How do you land on an exact month, not "about a year"?

Cash on hand divided by net burn gives months; we convert that to a calendar date and state the balance and burn it's derived from, so it's checkable.

Will you tell us how much to raise, or when?

No — that's your decision, made with your board and counsel. We hand over the cash-out date, the assumptions, and how that date moves under a few named scenarios.

What counts as a "lever" in the sensitivity analysis?

Usually two or three things: a planned hire's timing, whether the largest invoice collects on terms or slips, and whether a major vendor renews at the current rate. We model the date under each named scenario.

How often does the runway number refresh?

Monthly, tied to close, by default. Companies burning fast enough that a month is too coarse move to a weekly rolling update, the same cadence as a 13-week cash flow model.

Does the model account for payroll tax deposits like the 941?

Yes — quarterly 941 deposits, and the more frequent dates on a semi-weekly schedule, come from your CPA or payroll provider's filing calendar as scheduled outflows.

What if our burn isn't a straight line?

Then a flat average doesn't go into the model. We flag step changes and recalculate off the most recent actual month rather than smoothing a spike into a blend.

Is this the same as a cash flow forecast?

No. A cash flow forecast projects receipts and disbursements across a horizon. Runway analysis answers a narrower question: given cash and burn today, what month does it run out, and how much does that move under a few scenarios. That's a separate engagement.

Do you factor in money we're expecting to raise but haven't closed?

No. The date is built from cash you hold today and burn you're actually running — an unclosed raise doesn't belong in a number meant to tell you honestly what happens if it doesn't come through.

Who's accountable if the runway date is wrong?

A named advisor reviews the model and every assumption before it reaches you. AI pulls the data and recalculates the figures; it doesn't sign off. If an assumption changes, that's stated at the next refresh, not corrected silently.

Your CapEasy experts

Connect with us

Talk to the people who handle this work every day — no call centre, no hand-offs.

Ayush Joshi

Ayush Joshi

Co-Founder

Ex-OYO and Tenaciousfly. 7+ years in business development, strategic acquisitions, financing and debt syndication.

Aditya Jain

Aditya Jain

Co-Founder

Ex-Bank of America. 4+ years in investment banking, EU & Indian compliances, ESG compliances, and project management.

Manav Raval

Virtual CFO & Tax Specialist

Section 80-IAC, tax planning and startup compliance. Previously at Toyota Motor Corporation and Jaguar Land Rover.

Ayush Faldu

Virtual CFO & Tax Specialist

Financial strategy, budgeting and cash flow — a CFO’s judgement, monthly.

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