AustraliaServices AdvisoryRunway analysis

Advisory

Runway analysis for Australian businesses

How long the money lasts on your own numbers, and what changes it.

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What is runway analysis?

How long the money lasts on your own numbers, and what changes it.

Runway starts with the same distinction Australian businesses blur just as often: gross burn versus net burn. Gross burn is every dollar out the door in a month, nothing netted. Net burn subtracts what was actually collected, not invoiced. A business that reports one figure as "burn" without saying which has told half the story. We report both, every time, with the formula stated.

The output isn't "roughly a year." It's a specific calendar month, tied to a stated cash balance and burn figure, refreshed on an agreed cadence. A checkable date matters most when a business is weighing a lender, an investor process, or a facility draw — any of those takes lead time, so the date has to sit far enough ahead that whichever path it takes can close before cash runs dry.

Why it matters

Without a systemWith CapEasy
Decisions made on last year’s numbersA forecast that is updated from the actual close
Pricing set by feelKnowing which work makes money and which does not
Cash surprises that were visible months earlierNumbers you can defend in a funding conversation

What we need from you

Foundation

  • A clean, current set of books
  • At least a few periods of history
  • Budget or plan, if one exists

Context

  • Pricing and cost structure
  • Headcount plan
  • Anything you are about to decide

How it runs, step by step

  1. Planning & forecasting
    • Cash flow forecasting
    • Budgeting and re-forecasting
    • Scenario modelling
  2. Profitability
    • Job, product or service profitability
    • Margin analysis
    • Cost optimisation review
  3. Financial modelling & valuation support
    • Three-statement models
    • Unit economics
    • Valuation analysis and supporting workings

Who does what

Your CapEasy teamRunway analysis, the reconciliations and reporting behind it, and the questions list that keeps it honest.
Your registered BAS or tax agentEverything that carries a licence in Australia — rendered exactly as written: work out what goes on your bas, or advise you on it — under tasa 2009 that requires registration we do not hold.
YouOne conversation with one named person, and the decisions that are genuinely yours.

Runway analysis in Australia

Runway modelling is not a BAS service

Under TASA 2009 s.90-10, a BAS service is defined by ascertaining or advising on a liability, not by who lodges the form. GST in a runway model is a scheduled outflow built from historical BAS amounts and known due dates — never an independently calculated liability. The line isn't about lodging; it's about who works out the number, and that stays with the registered agent.

Runway is not capital-raising or lending advice

A runway model produces a date and its math, not a recommendation on when to approach a lender or investor, how much to seek, or on what terms. Those are decisions for the owner and board with their own advisers. Where a client asks directly, the question goes to the board, accountant, or adviser by name, and the runway numbers are handed over.

Superannuation guarantee is a fixed lever, not a soft line

SG is due quarterly and scales with headcount and wages — one of the largest, most predictable outflows a growing business carries, and it doesn't move if cash is tight that quarter. We track the due dates and current rate as a scheduled, non-negotiable outflow. We don't calculate the liability itself; that's the registered agent's job.

A runway pack isn't an audited or reviewed report

The ledger a model is built from is prepared with reference to Australian Accounting Standards, but the runway output itself is management reporting — never an audited or reviewed statement. A business needing that level of assurance needs a separate engagement with a qualified provider.

What your registered BAS or tax agent receives from us

  • A runway memo stating a specific cash-out month, the cash balance, and the net-burn figure it was calculated from.
  • Gross burn and net burn shown side by side, with the formula stated.
  • A sensitivity table showing the cash-out date under two or three named scenarios — a delayed hire, a slipped debtor, a supplier renewal — not a generic range.
  • A stated refresh cadence (monthly, or weekly for fast-burning businesses), with the last-refreshed date on the memo and a noted concentration around 30 June.
  • GST and superannuation guarantee shown as scheduled outflows against known due dates — never an independently calculated liability.
  • One-off costs itemized and excluded from the recurring burn figure used to project forward.

Questions worth asking before you start

Who actually does the work — a person or an AI tool?

A named person on our team owns your file and reviews everything that leaves it. Software does a real share of the grinding underneath it — coding, matching, flagging the obvious gaps — but nothing regulated happens without a person’s judgement, and nothing here is signed or filed by an algorithm.

Is there a filing or lodging step here?

No — runway analysis is operational work inside your books, not something submitted to ATO. Where a filing does sit downstream of it, inside advisory more broadly, that stays with your registered BAS or tax agent, never with us.

Which software do you work in?

Whatever you already run. Most commonly QuickBooks, Xero, NetSuite, Sage, Zoho Books and a handful of others — we work inside your system rather than moving you onto one of our own.

How does this actually start?

A short, free read-only look at what you already have, and a written note on what we found. A scoping call decides the size of the engagement — nothing here commits you to anything.

What does it cost?

There is no published price for runway analysis — it depends on volume, how many entities are involved, and how far behind the books are. We quote after the read-only review, which is free.

How does this fit with the rest of advisory?

Runway analysis sits inside advisory, alongside Cash flow forecasting, Budgeting and forecasting, Margin analysis. Most clients end up buying the category as a whole rather than one leaf at a time, but starting narrow is fine.

What's the difference between gross burn and net burn?

Gross burn is every dollar out the door, nothing netted. Net burn subtracts what was actually collected. We report both, every time — a figure built on only one tells half the story.

How do you land on an exact month, not "about a year"?

Cash on hand divided by net burn gives months; we convert that to a calendar date and state the balance and burn it's derived from, so it's checkable.

Will you tell us how much to raise, or which lender or investor to approach?

No — that sits with you, your board, and your own advisers. We hand over the cash-out date, the assumptions, and how that date moves under a few named scenarios.

Does GST show up in the model, and is that a BAS service?

GST is a scheduled outflow built from historical BAS amounts and known due dates, never a figure we've worked out ourselves. Under TASA s.90-10, ascertaining a BAS liability is the restricted act, so we schedule it from what's known.

Does superannuation guarantee affect the runway date?

Yes, directly. SG is due quarterly and scales with headcount, so it's a fixed outflow on its actual due dates. We don't calculate the liability itself — that comes from your actual wage data as confirmed by your registered agent.

How often does the number refresh, especially around 30 June?

Monthly by default, concentrating in the lead-up to 30 June, when a business needs a clean cash position before its registered agent starts annual work. Fast-burning businesses move to weekly.

What counts as a "lever" in the sensitivity analysis?

Usually whether the largest debtor collects on terms or slips, whether a planned hire starts on schedule with its full SG cost, and whether a major supplier renews at the current rate. We model the date under each named scenario.

Is this the same as a cash flow forecast?

No. A cash flow forecast projects receipts and disbursements across a horizon. Runway analysis is narrower: given cash and burn today, what month does it run out, and how much does that move under a few scenarios. That's a separate engagement.

Do you factor in a facility or investment we're expecting but haven't closed?

No. The date is built from cash you hold today and burn you're actually running — an undrawn facility or unclosed raise doesn't belong in a number meant to tell you honestly what happens if it doesn't come through.

Who's accountable if the runway date is wrong?

A named advisor reviews the model and every assumption before it reaches you. AI pulls the data and recalculates the figures; it doesn't sign off. If an assumption changes, that's stated at the next refresh, not corrected silently.

Your CapEasy experts

Connect with us

Talk to the people who handle this work every day — no call centre, no hand-offs.

Ayush Joshi

Ayush Joshi

Co-Founder

Ex-OYO and Tenaciousfly. 7+ years in business development, strategic acquisitions, financing and debt syndication.

Aditya Jain

Aditya Jain

Co-Founder

Ex-Bank of America. 4+ years in investment banking, EU & Indian compliances, ESG compliances, and project management.

Manav Raval

Virtual CFO & Tax Specialist

Section 80-IAC, tax planning and startup compliance. Previously at Toyota Motor Corporation and Jaguar Land Rover.

Ayush Faldu

Virtual CFO & Tax Specialist

Financial strategy, budgeting and cash flow — a CFO’s judgement, monthly.

Start with a look at the actual file.

Read-only access and a written note on what we found. Free, and the fastest way to know whether we are useful to you.

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