What is runway analysis?
How long the money lasts on your own numbers, and what changes it.
Runway starts with the same distinction Australian businesses blur just as often: gross burn versus net burn. Gross burn is every dollar out the door in a month, nothing netted. Net burn subtracts what was actually collected, not invoiced. A business that reports one figure as "burn" without saying which has told half the story. We report both, every time, with the formula stated.
The output isn't "roughly a year." It's a specific calendar month, tied to a stated cash balance and burn figure, refreshed on an agreed cadence. A checkable date matters most when a business is weighing a lender, an investor process, or a facility draw — any of those takes lead time, so the date has to sit far enough ahead that whichever path it takes can close before cash runs dry.
Why it matters
| Without a system | With CapEasy |
|---|---|
| Decisions made on last year’s numbers | A forecast that is updated from the actual close |
| Pricing set by feel | Knowing which work makes money and which does not |
| Cash surprises that were visible months earlier | Numbers you can defend in a funding conversation |
What we need from you
Foundation
- A clean, current set of books
- At least a few periods of history
- Budget or plan, if one exists
Context
- Pricing and cost structure
- Headcount plan
- Anything you are about to decide
How it runs, step by step
- Planning & forecasting
- Cash flow forecasting
- Budgeting and re-forecasting
- Scenario modelling
- Profitability
- Job, product or service profitability
- Margin analysis
- Cost optimisation review
- Financial modelling & valuation support
- Three-statement models
- Unit economics
- Valuation analysis and supporting workings
Who does what
| Your CapEasy team | Runway analysis, the reconciliations and reporting behind it, and the questions list that keeps it honest. |
| Your registered BAS or tax agent | Everything that carries a licence in Australia — rendered exactly as written: work out what goes on your bas, or advise you on it — under tasa 2009 that requires registration we do not hold. |
| You | One conversation with one named person, and the decisions that are genuinely yours. |
Runway analysis in Australia
Runway modelling is not a BAS service
Under TASA 2009 s.90-10, a BAS service is defined by ascertaining or advising on a liability, not by who lodges the form. GST in a runway model is a scheduled outflow built from historical BAS amounts and known due dates — never an independently calculated liability. The line isn't about lodging; it's about who works out the number, and that stays with the registered agent.
Runway is not capital-raising or lending advice
A runway model produces a date and its math, not a recommendation on when to approach a lender or investor, how much to seek, or on what terms. Those are decisions for the owner and board with their own advisers. Where a client asks directly, the question goes to the board, accountant, or adviser by name, and the runway numbers are handed over.
Superannuation guarantee is a fixed lever, not a soft line
SG is due quarterly and scales with headcount and wages — one of the largest, most predictable outflows a growing business carries, and it doesn't move if cash is tight that quarter. We track the due dates and current rate as a scheduled, non-negotiable outflow. We don't calculate the liability itself; that's the registered agent's job.
A runway pack isn't an audited or reviewed report
The ledger a model is built from is prepared with reference to Australian Accounting Standards, but the runway output itself is management reporting — never an audited or reviewed statement. A business needing that level of assurance needs a separate engagement with a qualified provider.
What your registered BAS or tax agent receives from us
- A runway memo stating a specific cash-out month, the cash balance, and the net-burn figure it was calculated from.
- Gross burn and net burn shown side by side, with the formula stated.
- A sensitivity table showing the cash-out date under two or three named scenarios — a delayed hire, a slipped debtor, a supplier renewal — not a generic range.
- A stated refresh cadence (monthly, or weekly for fast-burning businesses), with the last-refreshed date on the memo and a noted concentration around 30 June.
- GST and superannuation guarantee shown as scheduled outflows against known due dates — never an independently calculated liability.
- One-off costs itemized and excluded from the recurring burn figure used to project forward.


